My Election Predictions

Nov 3rd, 2008 | By Robin Zhang | Category: News

Hopefully I don’t jinx anything, but here goes…

Popular Vote

Barack Obama - 53% (353 EVs)

John McCain - 46% (185 EVs)

Ralph Nader’s Ego - 1% (0 EVs)

Swing States Obama Carries by > 10% Margin

Washington, Oregon, Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin, Maine

Swing States Obama Carries by 5-10% Margin

Minnesota, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Colorado

Swing States Obama Carries by 0-5% Margin

Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Nevada

Swing States McCain Carries by 0-5% Margin

Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, Montana, Georgia

Traditional Swing States Obama Carries by 5-10% Margin

Arkansas, Arizona, South Dakota, West Virginia, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District

Traditional Swing States Obama Carries by >10% Margin

Louisiana, Kentucky, Tennessee

Also… Proposition 8 in California will fail 52% to 48%.

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2 comments
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  1. I hope you are right in your predictions, if you are it will save me from taking out citizenship in the country where I now live in Europe as a permanent resident.

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  2. I live in Indiana and am very happy we went blue this year! I like your prediction though, it is exactly what I was predicting before I was so happily proved wrong.
    Also, I wish you had been right on prop 8 in California. That decision was particularly sucky.

    Good guessing though!

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